Nassim Nicholas Taleb The Black Swan The Impact of the Highly Improbable ISBN 1400063515

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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable By: Nassim Nicholas Taleb ISBN: 1400063515 (1-400-06351-5) ISBN-13: 9781400063512 (978-1-400063-51-2/978-1400063512) Format: Hardcover   Pages: 400 Edition: 1    Pub. Date: 2007-04-17 Publisher: Random House List Price: $27.00 Click link below to compare 110 bookstores prices! Get up to 90% off list price! For Book: The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable [Detail & Customer Review from Barnes & Noble] [Detail & Customer Review from Amazon]   Book Description The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don t know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the impossible. For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. Now, in this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don t know. He offers surprisingly simple tricks for dealing with black swans and benefiting from them. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications The Black Swan will change the way you look at the world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. The Black Swan is a landmark book itself a black swan.

 

 

 

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9780442217501-9780442226244 9780442226268-9780442233518 9780442233525-9780442238872 9780442238919-9780442251918 9780442252106-9780442263287 9780442263317-9780442275464 9780442275525-9780442282912 9780442282929-9780442302818 9780442302825-9780442311629 9780442311650-9780442315597 9780442315627-9780442319458 9780442319465-9780443027413 9780443027512-9780443036439 9780443036491-9780443042447 9780443042485-9780443045547 9780443045561-9780443048852 9780443048869-9780443051760 9780443051777-9780443054594 9780443054600-9780443058059 9780443058066-9780443059322 9780443059339-9780443062070 9780443062087-9780443064708 9780443064715-9780443070068 9780443070075-9780443071867 9780443071874-9780443073854 9780443073861-9780443077203 9780443077302-9780443084638 9780443084652-9780443088469 9780443088476-9780444002051 9780444002099-9780444012777 9780444012807-9780444407146 9780444407153-9780444418586 9780444418593-9780444422958 9780444422965-9780444427298 9780444427304-9780444500175 9780444500182-9780444501844 9780444501851-9780444503473 9780444503480-9780444505255 9780444505262-9780444506993 9780444507013-9780444509499 9780444509505-9780444511423 9780444511430-9780444513946 9780444513953-9780444516008 9780444516046-9780444518514 9780444518545-9780444702760 9780444702791-9780444705211 9780444705228-9780444809278 9780444809346-9780444813459 9780444813527-9780444815989 9780444815996-9780444818133 More...

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