9780691118505

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Why Stock Markets Crash: Critical Events in Complex Financial Systems By: Didier Sornette ISBN: 0691118507 (0-691-11850-7) ISBN-13: 9780691118505 (978-0-691118-50-5/978-0691118505) Format: Paperback   Pages: 448 Pub. Date: 2004-02-23 Publisher: Princeton University Press List Price: $23.95 Click link below to compare 110 bookstores prices! Get up to 90% off list price! For Book: Why Stock Markets Crash: Critical Events in Complex Financial Systems [Detail & Customer Review from Barnes & Noble] [Detail & Customer Review from Amazon]   Book Description Why Stock Markets Crash: Critical Events in Complex Financial Systems The scientific study of complex systems has transformed a wide range of disciplines in recent years, enabling researchers in both the natural and social sciences to model and predict phenomena as diverse as earthquakes, global warming, demographic patterns, financial crises, and the failure of materials. In this book, Didier Sornette boldly applies his varied experience in these areas to propose a simple, powerful, and general theory of how, why, and when stock markets crash. Most attempts to explain market failures seek to pinpoint triggering mechanisms that occur hours, days, or weeks before the collapse. Sornette proposes a radically different view: the underlying cause can be sought months and even years before the abrupt, catastrophic event in the build-up of cooperative speculation, which often translates into an accelerating rise of the market price, otherwise known as a "bubble." Anchoring his sophisticated, step-by-step analysis in leading-edge physical and statistical modeling techniques, he unearths remarkable insights and some predictions--among them, that the "end of the growth era" will occur around 2050. Sornette probes major historical precedents, from the decades-long "tulip mania" in the Netherlands that wilted suddenly in 1637 to the South Sea Bubble that ended with the first huge market crash in England in 1720, to the Great Crash of October 1929 and Black Monday in 1987, to cite just a few. He concludes that most explanations other than cooperative self-organization fail to account for the subtle bubbles by which the markets lay the groundwork for catastrophe. Any investor or investment professional who seeks a genuine understanding of looming financial disasters should read this book. Physicists, geologists, biologists, economists, and others will welcome Why Stock Markets Crash as a highly original "scientific tale," as Sornette aptly puts it, of the exciting and sometimes fearsome--but no longer quite so unfathomable--world of stock markets.

 

 

 

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9780915230204-9780915250295 9780915250844-9780915276127 9780915276370-9780915299553 9780915299553-9780915308705 9780915308712-9780915344925 9780915344932-9780915368037 9780915368044-9780915391189 9780915391257-9780915410521 9780915410538-9780915432844 9780915432851-9780915473564 9780915473595-9780915533022 9780915539048-9780915554454 9780915554461-9780915590346 9780915590414-9780915611249 9780915611256-9780915658589 9780915658695-9780915703487 9780915703494-9780915709342 9780915709366-9780915741526 9780915741540-9780915765911 9780915765928-9780915795741 9780915795819-9780915811311 9780915811328-9780915825356 9780915825363-9780915864027 9780915864157-9780915920792 9780915920815-9780915943203 9780915943210-9780915957767 9780915957774-9780915984862 9780915984879-9780916035877 9780916035884-9780916098216 9780916098247-9780916107864 9780916107871-9780916124243 9780916124267-9780916147051 9780916147068-9780916156718 9780916156763-9780916178017 9780916179038-9780916206604 9780916206635-9780916250072 9780916250201-9780916272685 9780916272692-9780916291594 9780916291600-9780916328177 9780916328184-9780916360580 9780916360597-9780916370046 9780916370077-9780916383572 9780916383589-9780916392505 9780916392536-9780916410797 9780916411015-9780916422776 9780916422783-9780916445430 9780916445461-9780916468637 9780916468651-9780916499464 9780916499600-9780916515669 9780916515683-9780916571054 More...

 

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